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Germany's industrial production growing at 2% p.a., stagnation likely for 2019

The new Quest Economic Report examines the trend growth of industrial production in Germany and combines the current situation with a trend forecast

(PresseBox) (Bochum, ) The new Quest Economic Report examines the trend growth of industrial production in Germany. The trend is defined as the moving average of the last 12 months. The report divides the trend in industrial production into two phases since 2008.

Only at the end of 2015 the trend growth in industrial production exceeded the pre-crisis level of 2008 (99.8 index points) for the first time with 100 index points. Since the beginning of 2016, a sustained growth trend has emerged at 2.0% per year in November 2018.

The new Quest Economic Report puts forward the thesis that industrial production is likely to stagnate in the current year.

The report cites the situation of the global economy, which is characterized by a mixture of growth, stagnation and decline. This is a fragile situation and the report notes that the factors for maintaining it are weakening. Keywords relating to these factors are: Continuation of the galloping national debt increases risks; weakening growth rates in China; aggressive US policy under Trump and the emergence of a new bipolar power structure in the world that restricts the world economy.

The new Quest Economic Report concludes from the trend in industrial production that the 2018 growth trend has been exhausted. Industrial production in 2018 could no longer surpass the highs of previous years, at the same time production lows were weaker - production development is flattening out and turning into stagnation.

It remains to be seen how long the stagnation will last. The fact that it will result in a crisis is more likely than the emergence of a new growth trend.

The new economic report on industrial production in Germany is available on https://www.quest-trendmagazine.com/en/global-economy/industrialized-countries/germany.html

In regard to the global economy the Quest Trend Magazine offers an analysis of the most important export markets on https://www.quest-trendmagazine.com/en/global-economy/outlook.html

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Quest Trend Magazine

Quest Trend Magazine publishes trends in automation from the users's point of view mainly in machinery industry, automotive and F&B industry. The economic backdrop of these trends are highlighted as well.

The trends are based on market surveys by Quest TechnoMarketing, Bochum, London, specialized in market surveys and marketing for the automation technology for more than 20 years and the publisher of the Quest Trend Magazine in English and German language.

The economic backdrop is analyzed by Quest Research, a department of Quest TechnoMarketing.

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