"In the past two years, the semiconductor industry responded to increasingly bad economic news by rapidly stopping all but essential spending in an attempt to preserve cash in uncertain economic times," said Dean Freeman, research vice president for Gartner's semiconductor manufacturing research group.
"In the memory sector, continuing losses resulting from plunging prices drove memory capital spending down 54 per cent from an already depressed 2008 level. Logic and mixedsignal spending declined 26 per cent as manufacturers concentrated on technology upgrades to the next line width to position themselves for the recovery," Mr Freeman said. "By the end of the year, the major companies resumed spending, with a focus on implanting the latest technology throughout their organisations. We expect this trend to continue in 2010, with technology upgrades accounting for the majority of spending - at least through the first half of the year."
Despite a 38 per cent decline in revenue in 2009, Applied Materials increased its worldwide market share to 15.1 per cent (up from 13.2 per cent in 2008). Tokyo Electron returned to the No. 2 position for semiconductor equipment, overtaking ASML (see Table 1). In 2009, only three companies had equipment sales greater than $1 billion, compared with six in 2008 and 10 in 2007.
2009 was a challenging year for wafer fab equipment (WFE) companies, because wafer fab revenue declined for the second straight year. WFE revenue dropped 47.4 per cent yearonyear to $12.7 billion. The vast majority of purchases were for technology upgrades.
The packaging assembly equipment (PAE) market declined 32.2 per cent, with sales of just over $2.7 billion in 2009. In the traditional packaging space, companies selling copper wire bonders performed substantially better than the overall market. As advanced packaging segments and new markets, such as throughsilicon via technology, become more prominent, more equipment makers will likely begin participating in the packaging and assembly market space.
In the automated test equipment segment, sales fell 53 per cent in 2009, resulting in a market size of $1.15 billion. The first quarter of 2009 was essentially nonexistent for test vendors. Visibility returned late in the year, and 2010 is set to realise excellent growth, especially for the memory test segment, which is expected to see more than 100 per cent growth. Strong growth is expected across all major test equipment segments.
Additional information is provided in the Gartner report "Market Share: Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment Plunged in 2009". The report provides rankings and market share for the top 20 vendors. The report is available on Gartner's website at http://www.gartner.com/....